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Kate Devlin

March 28th, 2012

My Vision of 2100 @ 03:39 pm

The world will be much different in 2100.The world has changed a lot from 1912 to 2012, I think the changes over the next 100 years will dwarf those of the past century.

Environmentally the world will be rebuilding after a period of enormous catastrophe.Much of the Amazon, African, and Southeast Asian rain forests will have been destroyed by the 2060s. Global temperatures will have considerably warmed. Much of the Southwest US, North and Central Africa, Southern Europe, areas of Central China will have become essentially uninhabitable.

Areas of southern Southeast Asia will have been badly hit by storms and rising temperatures.

Coastal regions worldwide will have been threatened. Large dike works will have been constructed around New York, London, Shanghai, and other cities.

The good news is that there now is a massive international project to restore the global environment and ecosystem. This has a good chance of success. GMO bacteria is processing massive amounts of carbon dioxide and methane out of the atmosphere. 

However within the previous few decades there have been massive refugee flows from affected regions of the world.Hundreds of millions of people have been resettling in more hospitable regions, radically changing population demographics, ideas of "ethnicity", and the concept of national boundaries.

There will have been several human die offs beginning in the 2030s.

Northern Europe, particularly the British Isles but also Scandinavia and Russia, will be favored destinations.The most favored destination will be Canada. With global climate change the habitable region of that country will extend much further to the north than at present. 

New cultures and societies will emerge in northern Canada.They will be extremely diverse but will be roughly aligned with the northern First Nations people of 2012 who in our time already are gaining political and economic control over their natural resources,

Most likely a form of English will emerge as the language of these new societies but it is a possibility that Esperanto, an easy to learn lingua franca, could experience a revival and eventually perhaps even be the native tongue of 100s of millions.

Russia will have built large enclosed cities surrounding the Russian Arctic.These will be considered prestigious "miracle technology" city-states and will attract large numbers of the most technically skilled among the refugees from the global south..

There will be several floating "sea states", mostly inhabited by climate refugees from South and Southeast Asia. They will be largely self sufficient artificial islands gradually travelling though the world's oceans.

Food-world wide most food will be produced though bioengineering. This will be vastly more efficient in energy expenditure ratio to protein and calories produced. Humanity will no longer be tied to farmland.

The world will have (very painfully) completed the transistion to a post-oil economy. Biotech wll have played a major role in this.

Fully immersive virtual reality will be common, even seen as necessary.People will not need to travel as much, there will be near instant face to face communication with people anywhere on the planet. The idea of being in a specific place will be beginning to erode, although it will be several more decades before this fully disappears.

VR systems will utilize  using highly sophisticated brain/computer interface nanobots. We will have the ability to record dreams and thoughts.There will be explorations into and understanding of  paranormal phenomena such as lucid dreaming and "out of the body experiences"

Nation states, the US, Canada Russia, Germany, will still exist but they will not be as important as today and for modern urban people they will not be a primary means of identity.People will be organised in multi-national entities, something like today's MNCs, with elements of the "tribes" in Neal Stephenson's The Diamond Age, but these will be much more democratic, run by the employees. These enties will be economic/political/cultural. The world will be post-capitalist.Economics will be fully based on production for human needs and reconstructing the devastated eco-systems rather than the reproduction of capital.  There will be still be enormous economic disparities in the world but the concept of being "unemployed" will no longer have meaning. Nearly everyone will be engaged in some economic activity or productive work.The "tribes" will be seen as the major global players, not countries.Politics will certainly exist but it will be along directions much different than today.All tribes will have an international aspect but some of them will be locally focused and others purely global.

Religion, including Christianity, will still play a role in the world but they will have dramatically changed. By 2050, if not sooner, the Catholic Church will have split into several rival sects, which themselves will shrink, at least outside Africa..As the 21st century progresses Christianity itself will be increasingly seen as a Third World religion and virtually vanish in the West. This will become more complicated by mass refugee flows towards the middle of the century. Millions of Muslims, Pentecostalists, fundamentalist Christians, and Hindus will relocate to northern regions.

By the end of the century most urban "sophisticates" will be atheist or agnostic but there will be a far flung highly globalized syncretic folk religion somewhat similar to todays Santeria combining elements of Catholicism, Sufiism, Hinduism, Chinese folk religion, AI, and African religions. This will have some similarity to the eclectic paganism of the later Roman Empire.There will still be large Muslim and Christian communities scattered thought Canada, the US, and Scandinavia.

The zeitgeist will be both highly global but also highly localized. People won't travel all that much, because of expense, but people will feel very much tied in to global communities.

Transhumanism will be a reality, people will have the ability both to genetically modify themselves in ways we can't imagine today, and to vastly augment intelligence with AI interfaces.There will be some opposition from Christian and (especially) Muslim communities (and they will be seen as "communities", rather then society as a whole) but overall the attitude will be, "if that's what people wanna do, why not let them?"Genetic engineering on a level enabling people to rapidly change their physical body, will be cheap and readily available.With much of humanity being involved in reconstruction, re-engineering one's body would be seen as somewhat self indulgent by many.There will be the possibility of prolonged life extension.

The feeling of the world will be cautiously optimistic. People will have the feeling of having survived decades of multiple traumas and there will be a form of "global PTSD". People will be confident in humanity's ability to (finally) build a better world.

A  main task of humanity during this period will be rebuilding. Much effort will be dedicated to recreating devastated wilderness areas such as the Amazon

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Kate Devlin